Dunham High Yield Fund Market Value

DAHYX Fund  USD 8.83  0.02  0.23%   
Dunham High's market value is the price at which a share of Dunham High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dunham High Yield investors about its performance. Dunham High is trading at 8.83 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.23% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dunham High Yield and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dunham High over a given investment horizon. Check out Dunham High Correlation, Dunham High Volatility and Dunham High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dunham High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dunham High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dunham High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dunham High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dunham High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dunham High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dunham High.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dunham High on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dunham High Yield or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dunham High over 720 days. Dunham High is related to or competes with Versatile Bond, Rational/pier, Limited Term, Ultra-short Term, Kinetics Spin-off, and Fundvantage Trust. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in debt securities and convertible securities rated below investment grade by SP or comparably rated by another nationally recognized statistical rating organization , also known as high-yield or junk bonds, and in unrated debt securities determined by the Sub-Adviser to be of comparable quality. More

Dunham High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dunham High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dunham High Yield upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dunham High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dunham High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dunham High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dunham High historical prices to predict the future Dunham High's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.698.838.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.978.119.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.678.808.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.748.808.86
Details

Dunham High Yield Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dunham Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dunham High Yield secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which denotes the fund had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Dunham High Yield, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dunham High's Standard Deviation of 0.1341, mean deviation of 0.1095, and Coefficient Of Variation of 482.41 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0215%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0079, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dunham High's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dunham High is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Dunham High Yield has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dunham High time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dunham High Yield price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Dunham High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.89
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Dunham High Yield lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dunham High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dunham High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dunham High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dunham High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dunham High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dunham High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dunham High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dunham High mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dunham High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dunham High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dunham High mutual fund have on its future price. Dunham High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dunham High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dunham High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dunham High Yield.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund

Dunham High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham High security.
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