JCDecaux (Germany) Market Value

DCS Stock  EUR 14.13  0.11  0.77%   
JCDecaux's market value is the price at which a share of JCDecaux trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JCDecaux SA investors about its performance. JCDecaux is trading at 14.13 as of the 29th of November 2024. This is a 0.77% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 14.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JCDecaux SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JCDecaux over a given investment horizon. Check out JCDecaux Correlation, JCDecaux Volatility and JCDecaux Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JCDecaux.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JCDecaux's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JCDecaux is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JCDecaux's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JCDecaux 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JCDecaux's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JCDecaux.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JCDecaux on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JCDecaux SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in JCDecaux over 30 days. JCDecaux is related to or competes with TITAN MACHINERY, KINGBOARD CHEMICAL, Hanison Construction, Soken Chemical, DAIRY FARM, and HYDROFARM HLD. JCDecaux SA engages in outdoor advertising activities worldwide More

JCDecaux Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JCDecaux's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JCDecaux SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JCDecaux Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JCDecaux's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JCDecaux's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JCDecaux historical prices to predict the future JCDecaux's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9814.1316.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5315.6817.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4314.5816.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5215.4718.42
Details

JCDecaux SA Backtested Returns

JCDecaux SA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.18, which attests that the company had a -0.18% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. JCDecaux SA exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out JCDecaux's standard deviation of 2.14, and Coefficient Of Variation of (572.74) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.079, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning JCDecaux are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, JCDecaux is likely to outperform the market. At this point, JCDecaux SA has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to check out JCDecaux's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if JCDecaux SA performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

JCDecaux SA has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JCDecaux time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JCDecaux SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current JCDecaux price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

JCDecaux SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JCDecaux stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JCDecaux's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JCDecaux returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JCDecaux has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JCDecaux regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JCDecaux stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JCDecaux stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JCDecaux stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JCDecaux Lagged Returns

When evaluating JCDecaux's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JCDecaux stock have on its future price. JCDecaux autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JCDecaux autocorrelation shows the relationship between JCDecaux stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JCDecaux SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in JCDecaux Stock

JCDecaux financial ratios help investors to determine whether JCDecaux Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JCDecaux with respect to the benefits of owning JCDecaux security.