13d Activist Fund Market Value

DDDCX Fund  USD 20.12  0.27  1.32%   
13d Activist's market value is the price at which a share of 13d Activist trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 13d Activist Fund investors about its performance. 13d Activist is trading at 20.12 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 1.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 13d Activist Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 13d Activist over a given investment horizon. Check out 13d Activist Correlation, 13d Activist Volatility and 13d Activist Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 13d Activist.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 13d Activist's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 13d Activist is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 13d Activist's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

13d Activist 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 13d Activist's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 13d Activist.
0.00
08/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 13d Activist on August 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 13d Activist Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in 13d Activist over 180 days. 13d Activist is related to or competes with 13d Activist, 13d Activist, Victory Integrity, Fidelity Advisor, and Columbia Select. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of U.S More

13d Activist Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 13d Activist's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 13d Activist Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

13d Activist Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 13d Activist's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 13d Activist's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 13d Activist historical prices to predict the future 13d Activist's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 13d Activist's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.8620.1221.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8920.1521.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.5919.8521.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.6619.4720.28
Details

13d Activist Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider 13d Mutual Fund to be very steady. 13d Activist secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of close to zero, which signifies that the fund had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for 13d Activist Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm 13d Activist's Semi Deviation of 1.26, coefficient of variation of 2598.09, and Mean Deviation of 0.8457 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0029%. The entity shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.43, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 13d Activist's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 13d Activist is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

13d Activist Fund has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 13d Activist time series from 5th of August 2024 to 3rd of November 2024 and 3rd of November 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 13d Activist price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current 13d Activist price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.65

13d Activist lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 13d Activist mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 13d Activist's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 13d Activist returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 13d Activist has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

13d Activist regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 13d Activist mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 13d Activist mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 13d Activist mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

13d Activist Lagged Returns

When evaluating 13d Activist's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 13d Activist mutual fund have on its future price. 13d Activist autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 13d Activist autocorrelation shows the relationship between 13d Activist mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 13d Activist Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 13d Mutual Fund

13d Activist financial ratios help investors to determine whether 13d Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 13d with respect to the benefits of owning 13d Activist security.
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