Dolphin Drilling (Norway) Market Value

DDRIL Stock   3.80  0.05  1.30%   
Dolphin Drilling's market value is the price at which a share of Dolphin Drilling trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dolphin Drilling AS investors about its performance. Dolphin Drilling is selling at 3.80 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.3 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dolphin Drilling AS and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dolphin Drilling over a given investment horizon. Check out Dolphin Drilling Correlation, Dolphin Drilling Volatility and Dolphin Drilling Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dolphin Drilling.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dolphin Drilling's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dolphin Drilling is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dolphin Drilling's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dolphin Drilling 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dolphin Drilling's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dolphin Drilling.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dolphin Drilling on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dolphin Drilling AS or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dolphin Drilling over 30 days. Dolphin Drilling is related to or competes with Deep Value, Odfjell Drilling, NorAm Drilling, SD Standard, and Northern Ocean. More

Dolphin Drilling Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dolphin Drilling's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dolphin Drilling AS upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dolphin Drilling Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dolphin Drilling's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dolphin Drilling's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dolphin Drilling historical prices to predict the future Dolphin Drilling's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.807.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.136.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.194.027.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.803.803.80
Details

Dolphin Drilling Backtested Returns

Dolphin Drilling secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0309, which denotes the company had a -0.0309% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Dolphin Drilling AS exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Dolphin Drilling's Standard Deviation of 3.8, variance of 14.46, and Mean Deviation of 2.67 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0663, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Dolphin Drilling's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dolphin Drilling is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Dolphin Drilling has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to confirm Dolphin Drilling's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Dolphin Drilling performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.09  

Virtually no predictability

Dolphin Drilling AS has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dolphin Drilling time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dolphin Drilling price movement. The serial correlation of 0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Dolphin Drilling price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.09
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Dolphin Drilling lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dolphin Drilling stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dolphin Drilling's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dolphin Drilling returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dolphin Drilling has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dolphin Drilling regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dolphin Drilling stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dolphin Drilling stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dolphin Drilling stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dolphin Drilling Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dolphin Drilling's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dolphin Drilling stock have on its future price. Dolphin Drilling autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dolphin Drilling autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dolphin Drilling stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dolphin Drilling AS.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dolphin Stock

Dolphin Drilling financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dolphin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dolphin with respect to the benefits of owning Dolphin Drilling security.