VanEck Defense's market value is the price at which a share of VanEck Defense trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VanEck Defense ETF investors about its performance. VanEck Defense is trading at 62.32 as of the 22nd of January 2026. This is a 0.38% down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 61.93. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VanEck Defense ETF and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VanEck Defense over a given investment horizon. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Symbol
VanEck
VanEck Defense 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VanEck Defense's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VanEck Defense.
0.00
12/23/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 31 days
01/22/2026
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in VanEck Defense on December 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VanEck Defense ETF or generate 0.0% return on investment in VanEck Defense over 30 days.
VanEck Defense Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VanEck Defense's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VanEck Defense ETF upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VanEck Defense's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VanEck Defense's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VanEck Defense historical prices to predict the future VanEck Defense's volatility.
VanEck Defense appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. VanEck Defense ETF owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the etf had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for VanEck Defense ETF, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please review VanEck Defense's Coefficient Of Variation of 665.18, risk adjusted performance of 0.1166, and Semi Deviation of 1.33 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.56, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, VanEck Defense's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VanEck Defense is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation
0.65
Good predictability
VanEck Defense ETF has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VanEck Defense time series from 23rd of December 2025 to 7th of January 2026 and 7th of January 2026 to 22nd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VanEck Defense ETF price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current VanEck Defense price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.65
Spearman Rank Test
0.79
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
2.7
VanEck Defense ETF lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is VanEck Defense etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VanEck Defense's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VanEck Defense returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VanEck Defense has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
VanEck Defense regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VanEck Defense etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VanEck Defense etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VanEck Defense etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
VanEck Defense Lagged Returns
When evaluating VanEck Defense's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VanEck Defense etf have on its future price. VanEck Defense autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VanEck Defense autocorrelation shows the relationship between VanEck Defense etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VanEck Defense ETF.