Global Allocation 6040 Fund Market Value

DGSIX Fund  USD 22.35  0.03  0.13%   
Global Allocation's market value is the price at which a share of Global Allocation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Allocation 6040 investors about its performance. Global Allocation is trading at 22.35 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.13 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.32.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Allocation 6040 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Allocation over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Allocation Correlation, Global Allocation Volatility and Global Allocation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Allocation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Allocation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Allocation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Allocation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Allocation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Allocation's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Allocation.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Allocation on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Allocation 6040 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Allocation over 360 days. Global Allocation is related to or competes with Global Advantage, Global Strategist, Global Strategist, Global Real, and Global Equity. The fund allocates its assets to underlying funds that invest in equity and fixed income securities More

Global Allocation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Allocation's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Allocation 6040 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Allocation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Allocation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Allocation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Allocation historical prices to predict the future Global Allocation's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9122.3522.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8322.2722.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.7522.1922.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9722.3022.64
Details

Global Allocation 6040 Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Global Mutual Fund to be very steady. Global Allocation 6040 holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0759, which attests that the entity had a 0.0759% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Global Allocation 6040, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Global Allocation's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0679, downside deviation of 0.4555, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.66) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0332%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0206, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Global Allocation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Global Allocation is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.83  

Very good predictability

Global Allocation 6040 has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Allocation time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Allocation 6040 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Global Allocation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Global Allocation 6040 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Allocation mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Allocation's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Allocation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Allocation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Allocation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Allocation mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Allocation mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Allocation mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Allocation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Allocation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Allocation mutual fund have on its future price. Global Allocation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Allocation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Allocation mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Allocation 6040.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Allocation security.
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