Doubleline Strategic Modity Fund Market Value

DLCMX Fund  USD 7.05  0.01  0.14%   
Doubleline Strategic's market value is the price at which a share of Doubleline Strategic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Doubleline Strategic Modity investors about its performance. Doubleline Strategic is trading at 7.05 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.14% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.04.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Doubleline Strategic Modity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Doubleline Strategic over a given investment horizon. Check out Doubleline Strategic Correlation, Doubleline Strategic Volatility and Doubleline Strategic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Doubleline Strategic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Doubleline Strategic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Doubleline Strategic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Doubleline Strategic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Doubleline Strategic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Doubleline Strategic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Doubleline Strategic.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Doubleline Strategic on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Doubleline Strategic Modity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Doubleline Strategic over 30 days. Doubleline Strategic is related to or competes with Pimco Commoditiesplus, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, High-yield Municipal, and Via Renewables. The advisor normally seeks to generate long term total return through long and short exposures to commodity-related inve... More

Doubleline Strategic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Doubleline Strategic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Doubleline Strategic Modity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Doubleline Strategic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Doubleline Strategic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Doubleline Strategic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Doubleline Strategic historical prices to predict the future Doubleline Strategic's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.317.057.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.156.897.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.246.987.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.027.057.08
Details

Doubleline Strategic Backtested Returns

Doubleline Strategic secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0583, which denotes the fund had a -0.0583% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Doubleline Strategic Modity exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Doubleline Strategic's Mean Deviation of 0.5987, standard deviation of 0.749, and Variance of 0.5609 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0283, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Doubleline Strategic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Doubleline Strategic is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Doubleline Strategic Modity has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Doubleline Strategic time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Doubleline Strategic price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Doubleline Strategic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Doubleline Strategic lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Doubleline Strategic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Doubleline Strategic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Doubleline Strategic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Doubleline Strategic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Doubleline Strategic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Doubleline Strategic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Doubleline Strategic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Doubleline Strategic mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Doubleline Strategic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Doubleline Strategic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Doubleline Strategic mutual fund have on its future price. Doubleline Strategic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Doubleline Strategic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Doubleline Strategic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Doubleline Strategic Modity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Doubleline Mutual Fund

Doubleline Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Doubleline Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Doubleline with respect to the benefits of owning Doubleline Strategic security.
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