Defiance Silver Corp Stock Market Value

DNCVF Stock  USD 0.16  0.01  6.67%   
Defiance Silver's market value is the price at which a share of Defiance Silver trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Defiance Silver Corp investors about its performance. Defiance Silver is trading at 0.16 as of the 25th of November 2024. This is a 6.67% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Defiance Silver Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Defiance Silver over a given investment horizon. Check out Defiance Silver Correlation, Defiance Silver Volatility and Defiance Silver Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Defiance Silver.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Defiance Silver 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Defiance Silver's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Defiance Silver.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Defiance Silver on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Defiance Silver Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Defiance Silver over 30 days. Defiance Silver is related to or competes with Morningstar Unconstrained, High-yield Municipal, Knife River, Klckner Co, CarMax, SEI Investments, and Kosmos Energy. Defiance Silver Corp., an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and developmen... More

Defiance Silver Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Defiance Silver's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Defiance Silver Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Defiance Silver Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Defiance Silver's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Defiance Silver's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Defiance Silver historical prices to predict the future Defiance Silver's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.166.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.156.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.196.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.140.160.18
Details

Defiance Silver Corp Backtested Returns

Defiance Silver Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0087, which denotes the company had a -0.0087% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Defiance Silver Corp exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Defiance Silver's Downside Deviation of 6.79, coefficient of variation of 18152.51, and Mean Deviation of 4.93 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.11, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Defiance Silver will likely underperform. At this point, Defiance Silver Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0575%. Please make sure to confirm Defiance Silver's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Defiance Silver Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.54  

Good reverse predictability

Defiance Silver Corp has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Defiance Silver time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Defiance Silver Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Defiance Silver price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Defiance Silver Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Defiance Silver otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Defiance Silver's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Defiance Silver returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Defiance Silver has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Defiance Silver regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Defiance Silver otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Defiance Silver otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Defiance Silver otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Defiance Silver Lagged Returns

When evaluating Defiance Silver's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Defiance Silver otc stock have on its future price. Defiance Silver autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Defiance Silver autocorrelation shows the relationship between Defiance Silver otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Defiance Silver Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Defiance OTC Stock

Defiance Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defiance OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defiance with respect to the benefits of owning Defiance Silver security.