Davis Real Estate Fund Market Value

DRECX Fund  USD 42.15  0.02  0.05%   
Davis Real's market value is the price at which a share of Davis Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Davis Real Estate investors about its performance. Davis Real is trading at 42.15 as of the 2nd of February 2025; that is 0.05 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 42.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Davis Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Davis Real over a given investment horizon. Check out Davis Real Correlation, Davis Real Volatility and Davis Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Davis Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Davis Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Davis Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Davis Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Davis Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Davis Real's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Davis Real.
0.00
01/03/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
02/02/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Davis Real on January 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Davis Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Davis Real over 30 days. Davis Real is related to or competes with Great-west Goldman, Franklin Gold, Short Precious, Gold And, Deutsche Gold, Precious Metals, and Invesco Gold. The funds investment adviser uses the Davis Investment Discipline to invest at least 80 percent of the funds net assets,... More

Davis Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Davis Real's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Davis Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Davis Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Davis Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Davis Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Davis Real historical prices to predict the future Davis Real's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Davis Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.9642.1543.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.2442.4343.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.5241.7142.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.0542.2844.51
Details

Davis Real Estate Backtested Returns

Davis Real Estate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0693, which denotes the fund had a -0.0693 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Davis Real Estate exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Davis Real's Standard Deviation of 1.19, variance of 1.42, and Mean Deviation of 0.9317 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Davis Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Davis Real is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.09  

Very weak reverse predictability

Davis Real Estate has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Davis Real time series from 3rd of January 2025 to 18th of January 2025 and 18th of January 2025 to 2nd of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Davis Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.09 indicates that less than 9.0% of current Davis Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.09
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Davis Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Davis Real mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Davis Real's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Davis Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Davis Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Davis Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Davis Real mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Davis Real mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Davis Real mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Davis Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating Davis Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Davis Real mutual fund have on its future price. Davis Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Davis Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between Davis Real mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Davis Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Davis Mutual Fund

Davis Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Davis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Davis with respect to the benefits of owning Davis Real security.
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