Fundo De (Brazil) Market Value

DVFF11 Fund   6.61  0.13  1.93%   
Fundo De's market value is the price at which a share of Fundo De trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fundo De Investimento investors about its performance. Fundo De is trading at 6.61 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 1.93 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fundo De Investimento and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fundo De over a given investment horizon. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Symbol

Fundo De 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fundo De's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fundo De.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fundo De on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fundo De Investimento or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fundo De over 30 days.

Fundo De Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fundo De's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fundo De Investimento upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fundo De Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fundo De's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fundo De's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fundo De historical prices to predict the future Fundo De's volatility.

Fundo De Investimento Backtested Returns

Fundo De Investimento secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which denotes the fund had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fundo De Investimento exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fundo De's Mean Deviation of 1.13, standard deviation of 1.64, and Variance of 2.69 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.28, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fundo De's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fundo De is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

Fundo De Investimento has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fundo De time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fundo De Investimento price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Fundo De price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Fundo De Investimento lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fundo De fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fundo De's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fundo De returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fundo De has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fundo De regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fundo De fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fundo De fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fundo De fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fundo De Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fundo De's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fundo De fund have on its future price. Fundo De autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fundo De autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fundo De fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fundo De Investimento.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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