Enphase Energy (Germany) Market Value
| E0P Stock | EUR 61.43 2.60 4.42% |
| Symbol | Enphase |
Enphase Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Enphase Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Enphase Energy.
| 12/03/2022 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Enphase Energy on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Enphase Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Enphase Energy over 720 days. Enphase Energy is related to or competes with ASML HOLDING, Applied Materials, Lam Research, Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, and SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS. Enphase Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and sells home energy solutions for the solar p... More
Enphase Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Enphase Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Enphase Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 24.35 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.84 |
Enphase Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Enphase Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Enphase Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Enphase Energy historical prices to predict the future Enphase Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.29) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.94 |
Enphase Energy Backtested Returns
Enphase Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.2, which denotes the company had a -0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Enphase Energy exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Enphase Energy's Variance of 19.08, mean deviation of 2.79, and Standard Deviation of 4.37 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.37, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Enphase Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Enphase Energy is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Enphase Energy has a negative expected return of -0.84%. Please make sure to confirm Enphase Energy's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Enphase Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
Enphase Energy has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Enphase Energy time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Enphase Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Enphase Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 195.53 |
Enphase Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Enphase Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Enphase Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Enphase Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Enphase Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Enphase Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Enphase Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Enphase Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Enphase Energy stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Enphase Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Enphase Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Enphase Energy stock have on its future price. Enphase Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Enphase Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Enphase Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Enphase Energy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Enphase Stock
When determining whether Enphase Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Enphase Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Enphase Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Enphase Energy Stock:Check out Enphase Energy Correlation, Enphase Energy Volatility and Enphase Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Enphase Energy. For more detail on how to invest in Enphase Stock please use our How to Invest in Enphase Energy guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Enphase Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.