Eca Marcellus Trust Stock Market Value
| ECTM Stock | USD 0.51 0.01 2.00% |
| Symbol | ECA |
ECA Marcellus 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ECA Marcellus' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ECA Marcellus.
| 12/16/2025 |
| 01/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ECA Marcellus on December 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ECA Marcellus Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in ECA Marcellus over 30 days. ECA Marcellus is related to or competes with Pacific Coast, Hugoton Royalty, and Chesapeake Granite. ECA Marcellus Trust I owns royalty interests in producing and development horizontal natural gas wells for Energy Corpor... More
ECA Marcellus Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ECA Marcellus' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ECA Marcellus Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.8 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 25.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.27) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.87 |
ECA Marcellus Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ECA Marcellus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ECA Marcellus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ECA Marcellus historical prices to predict the future ECA Marcellus' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0126 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0817 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.75) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECA Marcellus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ECA Marcellus Trust Backtested Returns
As of now, ECA Pink Sheet is out of control. ECA Marcellus Trust retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0368, which denotes the company had a 0.0368 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ECA Marcellus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm ECA Marcellus' Downside Deviation of 4.8, coefficient of variation of 17522.95, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. ECA Marcellus has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.58, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning ECA Marcellus are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, ECA Marcellus is likely to outperform the market. ECA Marcellus Trust at this moment owns a risk of 4.94%. Please confirm ECA Marcellus Trust coefficient of variation, semi variance, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if ECA Marcellus Trust will be following its current price history.
Auto-correlation | 0.41 |
Average predictability
ECA Marcellus Trust has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ECA Marcellus time series from 16th of December 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 15th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ECA Marcellus Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current ECA Marcellus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.41 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
ECA Marcellus Trust lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ECA Marcellus pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ECA Marcellus' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ECA Marcellus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ECA Marcellus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ECA Marcellus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ECA Marcellus pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ECA Marcellus pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ECA Marcellus pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ECA Marcellus Lagged Returns
When evaluating ECA Marcellus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ECA Marcellus pink sheet have on its future price. ECA Marcellus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ECA Marcellus autocorrelation shows the relationship between ECA Marcellus pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ECA Marcellus Trust.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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ECA Marcellus financial ratios help investors to determine whether ECA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ECA with respect to the benefits of owning ECA Marcellus security.