EDreams Odigeo (Spain) Market Value

EDR Stock  EUR 6.68  0.17  2.61%   
EDreams Odigeo's market value is the price at which a share of EDreams Odigeo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of eDreams Odigeo SA investors about its performance. EDreams Odigeo is trading at 6.68 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 2.61% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of eDreams Odigeo SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EDreams Odigeo over a given investment horizon. Check out EDreams Odigeo Correlation, EDreams Odigeo Volatility and EDreams Odigeo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EDreams Odigeo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between EDreams Odigeo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EDreams Odigeo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EDreams Odigeo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EDreams Odigeo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EDreams Odigeo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EDreams Odigeo.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EDreams Odigeo on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding eDreams Odigeo SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in EDreams Odigeo over 30 days. EDreams Odigeo is related to or competes with Sacyr SA, Melia Hotels, ENCE Energa, and Solaria Energa. eDreams ODIGEO S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online travel company in Europe More

EDreams Odigeo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EDreams Odigeo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess eDreams Odigeo SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EDreams Odigeo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EDreams Odigeo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EDreams Odigeo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EDreams Odigeo historical prices to predict the future EDreams Odigeo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.966.518.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.986.538.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.926.478.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.186.386.58
Details

eDreams Odigeo SA Backtested Returns

At this point, EDreams Odigeo is not too volatile. eDreams Odigeo SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0049, which denotes the company had a 0.0049% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for eDreams Odigeo SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm EDreams Odigeo's insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance, standard deviation of 1.54, and Coefficient Of Variation of (11,243) to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0077%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0059, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning EDreams Odigeo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, EDreams Odigeo is likely to outperform the market. eDreams Odigeo SA presently shows a risk of 1.58%. Please confirm eDreams Odigeo SA kurtosis, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if eDreams Odigeo SA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

eDreams Odigeo SA has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EDreams Odigeo time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of eDreams Odigeo SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current EDreams Odigeo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

eDreams Odigeo SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EDreams Odigeo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EDreams Odigeo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EDreams Odigeo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EDreams Odigeo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

EDreams Odigeo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EDreams Odigeo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EDreams Odigeo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EDreams Odigeo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

EDreams Odigeo Lagged Returns

When evaluating EDreams Odigeo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EDreams Odigeo stock have on its future price. EDreams Odigeo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EDreams Odigeo autocorrelation shows the relationship between EDreams Odigeo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in eDreams Odigeo SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in EDreams Stock

EDreams Odigeo financial ratios help investors to determine whether EDreams Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EDreams with respect to the benefits of owning EDreams Odigeo security.