Emerald Insights Fund Market Value

EFCAX Fund  USD 21.55  0.14  0.65%   
Emerald Insights' market value is the price at which a share of Emerald Insights trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Emerald Insights Fund investors about its performance. Emerald Insights is trading at 21.55 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.65% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 21.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Emerald Insights Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Emerald Insights over a given investment horizon. Check out Emerald Insights Correlation, Emerald Insights Volatility and Emerald Insights Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Emerald Insights.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Emerald Insights' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Emerald Insights is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Emerald Insights' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Emerald Insights 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Emerald Insights' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Emerald Insights.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Emerald Insights on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Emerald Insights Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Emerald Insights over 180 days. Emerald Insights is related to or competes with Lgm Risk, Morningstar Aggressive, California High-yield, Pace High, Multimanager Lifestyle, Calvert High, and Needham Aggressive. Under normal conditions, the fund typically invests in equity securities of U.S More

Emerald Insights Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Emerald Insights' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Emerald Insights Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Emerald Insights Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Emerald Insights' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Emerald Insights' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Emerald Insights historical prices to predict the future Emerald Insights' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.3921.5522.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0521.2122.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.2921.4522.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1521.0621.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Emerald Insights. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Emerald Insights' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Emerald Insights' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Emerald Insights.

Emerald Insights Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Emerald Mutual Fund to be very steady. Emerald Insights secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Emerald Insights Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Emerald Insights' Downside Deviation of 1.3, mean deviation of 0.7993, and Coefficient Of Variation of 954.51 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.08, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Emerald Insights returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Emerald Insights is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

Emerald Insights Fund has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Emerald Insights time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Emerald Insights price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Emerald Insights price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.51

Emerald Insights lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Emerald Insights mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Emerald Insights' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Emerald Insights returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Emerald Insights has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Emerald Insights regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Emerald Insights mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Emerald Insights mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Emerald Insights mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Emerald Insights Lagged Returns

When evaluating Emerald Insights' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Emerald Insights mutual fund have on its future price. Emerald Insights autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Emerald Insights autocorrelation shows the relationship between Emerald Insights mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Emerald Insights Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Emerald Mutual Fund

Emerald Insights financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emerald Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emerald with respect to the benefits of owning Emerald Insights security.
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