E L Financial 3 Preferred Stock Market Value

ELF-PH Preferred Stock  CAD 22.17  0.13  0.58%   
E L's market value is the price at which a share of E L trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of E L Financial 3 investors about its performance. E L is trading at 22.17 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.58 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 22.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of E L Financial 3 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in E L over a given investment horizon. Check out E L Correlation, E L Volatility and E L Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on E L.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between E L's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if E L is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, E L's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

E L 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to E L's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of E L.
0.00
04/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 7 months and 24 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in E L on April 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding E L Financial 3 or generate 0.0% return on investment in E L over 600 days. E L is related to or competes with Fairfax Financial, Fairfax Financial, Fairfax Financial, Fairfax Financial, Fairfax Financial, Fairfax Fin, and Intact Financial. E-L Financial Corporation Limited operates as an investment and insurance holding company in Canada More

E L Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure E L's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess E L Financial 3 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

E L Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for E L's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as E L's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use E L historical prices to predict the future E L's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7522.3022.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.9622.5123.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8322.3822.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.9022.8623.81
Details

E L Financial Backtested Returns

E L Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0343, which denotes the company had a -0.0343% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. E L Financial 3 exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm E L's Mean Deviation of 0.3937, downside deviation of 0.6969, and Semi Deviation of 0.5361 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, E L's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding E L is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, E L Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0191%. Please make sure to confirm E L's potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to decide if E L Financial performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.01  

Virtually no predictability

E L Financial 3 has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between E L time series from 2nd of April 2023 to 27th of January 2024 and 27th of January 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of E L Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current E L price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.01
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.16

E L Financial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is E L preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting E L's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of E L returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that E L has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

E L regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If E L preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if E L preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in E L preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

E L Lagged Returns

When evaluating E L's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of E L preferred stock have on its future price. E L autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, E L autocorrelation shows the relationship between E L preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in E L Financial 3.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with E L

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if E L position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in E L will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against ELF-PH Preferred Stock

  0.6ELF E L FinancialPairCorr
  0.49SCD Scandium CanadaPairCorr
  0.38FFH-PG Fairfax Fin HldPairCorr
  0.37FFH-PD Fairfax FinancialPairCorr
  0.31FFH-PH Fairfax FinancialPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to E L could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace E L when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back E L - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling E L Financial 3 to buy it.
The correlation of E L is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as E L moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if E L Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for E L can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in ELF-PH Preferred Stock

E L financial ratios help investors to determine whether ELF-PH Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ELF-PH with respect to the benefits of owning E L security.