Ep Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

EPASX Fund  USD 9.87  0.08  0.80%   
Ep Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Ep Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ep Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Ep Emerging is trading at 9.87 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.8% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ep Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ep Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Ep Emerging Correlation, Ep Emerging Volatility and Ep Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ep Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ep Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ep Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ep Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ep Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ep Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ep Emerging.
0.00
09/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ep Emerging on September 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ep Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ep Emerging over 60 days. Ep Emerging is related to or competes with Fidelity Series, Government Securities, Short-term Government, Us Government, Dunham Corporate/govern, Aig Government, and Franklin Adjustable. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securiti... More

Ep Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ep Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ep Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ep Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ep Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ep Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ep Emerging historical prices to predict the future Ep Emerging's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ep Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.839.8710.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9810.0211.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.579.6110.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.829.909.97
Details

Ep Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider EPASX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ep Emerging Markets retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0021, which denotes the fund had a 0.0021% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ep Emerging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ep Emerging's Standard Deviation of 1.04, downside deviation of 1.09, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0869 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0021%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ep Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ep Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Ep Emerging Markets has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ep Emerging time series from 25th of September 2024 to 25th of October 2024 and 25th of October 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ep Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Ep Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Ep Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ep Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ep Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ep Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ep Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ep Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ep Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ep Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ep Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ep Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ep Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ep Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Ep Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ep Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ep Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ep Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in EPASX Mutual Fund

Ep Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether EPASX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EPASX with respect to the benefits of owning Ep Emerging security.
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