Equatorial Energia (Brazil) Market Value
| EQTL3 Stock | BRL 32.74 0.24 0.74% |
| Symbol | Equatorial |
Equatorial Energia 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Equatorial Energia's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Equatorial Energia.
| 05/27/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Equatorial Energia on May 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Equatorial Energia SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Equatorial Energia over 180 days. Equatorial Energia is related to or competes with Localiza Rent, Raia Drogasil, Engie Brasil, and Lojas Renner. Equatorial Energia S.A., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Brazil More
Equatorial Energia Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Equatorial Energia's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Equatorial Energia SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.19) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.87) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.67 |
Equatorial Energia Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Equatorial Energia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Equatorial Energia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Equatorial Energia historical prices to predict the future Equatorial Energia's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.32) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.5 |
Equatorial Energia Backtested Returns
Equatorial Energia secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0665, which denotes the company had a -0.0665% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Equatorial Energia SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Equatorial Energia's Standard Deviation of 1.3, variance of 1.69, and Mean Deviation of 0.9065 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Equatorial Energia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Equatorial Energia is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Equatorial Energia has a negative expected return of -0.0856%. Please make sure to confirm Equatorial Energia's skewness, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Equatorial Energia performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.72 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Equatorial Energia SA has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Equatorial Energia time series from 27th of May 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Equatorial Energia price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Equatorial Energia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.59 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.15 |
Equatorial Energia lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Equatorial Energia stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Equatorial Energia's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Equatorial Energia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Equatorial Energia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Equatorial Energia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Equatorial Energia stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Equatorial Energia stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Equatorial Energia stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Equatorial Energia Lagged Returns
When evaluating Equatorial Energia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Equatorial Energia stock have on its future price. Equatorial Energia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Equatorial Energia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Equatorial Energia stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Equatorial Energia SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Equatorial Stock Analysis
When running Equatorial Energia's price analysis, check to measure Equatorial Energia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equatorial Energia is operating at the current time. Most of Equatorial Energia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equatorial Energia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equatorial Energia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equatorial Energia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.