Direxion Daily Energy Etf Market Value

ERX Etf  USD 68.77  2.86  3.99%   
Direxion Daily's market value is the price at which a share of Direxion Daily trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Direxion Daily Energy investors about its performance. Direxion Daily is trading at 68.77 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 3.99 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 71.63.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Direxion Daily Energy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Direxion Daily over a given investment horizon. Check out Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Volatility and Direxion Daily Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Direxion Daily.
Symbol

The market value of Direxion Daily Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Direxion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Direxion Daily's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Direxion Daily's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Direxion Daily's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Direxion Daily's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Direxion Daily's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Direxion Daily is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Direxion Daily's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Direxion Daily 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Direxion Daily's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Direxion Daily.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Direxion Daily on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Direxion Daily Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Direxion Daily over 30 days. Direxion Daily is related to or competes with Direxion Daily, Direxion Daily, and Direxion Daily. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of ... More

Direxion Daily Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Direxion Daily's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Direxion Daily Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Direxion Daily Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Direxion Daily's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Direxion Daily's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Direxion Daily historical prices to predict the future Direxion Daily's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.1768.6371.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.8267.2869.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
67.0769.5472.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.7068.8872.06
Details

Direxion Daily Energy Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Direxion Etf to be very steady. Direxion Daily Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0732, which denotes the etf had a 0.0732% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Direxion Daily Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Direxion Daily's Mean Deviation of 1.84, downside deviation of 2.61, and Coefficient Of Variation of 861.51 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.5, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Direxion Daily will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Direxion Daily Energy has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Direxion Daily time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Direxion Daily Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Direxion Daily price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.3

Direxion Daily Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Direxion Daily etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Direxion Daily's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Direxion Daily returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Direxion Daily has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Direxion Daily regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Direxion Daily etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Direxion Daily etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Direxion Daily etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Direxion Daily Lagged Returns

When evaluating Direxion Daily's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Direxion Daily etf have on its future price. Direxion Daily autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Direxion Daily autocorrelation shows the relationship between Direxion Daily etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Direxion Daily Energy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Direxion Daily Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Direxion Daily's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Direxion Daily Energy Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Direxion Daily Energy Etf:
Check out Direxion Daily Correlation, Direxion Daily Volatility and Direxion Daily Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Direxion Daily.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Direxion Daily technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Direxion Daily technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Direxion Daily trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...