Eventide Gilead Fund Market Value

ETCGX Fund  USD 45.65  0.64  1.42%   
Eventide Gilead's market value is the price at which a share of Eventide Gilead trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Eventide Gilead Fund investors about its performance. Eventide Gilead is trading at 45.65 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 45.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Eventide Gilead Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Eventide Gilead over a given investment horizon. Check out Eventide Gilead Correlation, Eventide Gilead Volatility and Eventide Gilead Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Eventide Gilead.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Eventide Gilead's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eventide Gilead is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eventide Gilead's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Eventide Gilead 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Eventide Gilead's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Eventide Gilead.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 25 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Eventide Gilead on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Eventide Gilead Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Eventide Gilead over 480 days. Eventide Gilead is related to or competes with Pia High, Jpmorgan High, Msift High, Pace High, and Fidelity Capital. Normally, the fund invests primarily in a broad range of equity securities of any market capitalization More

Eventide Gilead Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Eventide Gilead's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Eventide Gilead Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Eventide Gilead Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Eventide Gilead's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Eventide Gilead's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Eventide Gilead historical prices to predict the future Eventide Gilead's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.6345.6546.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.0745.0946.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.0645.0846.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
44.8345.4446.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eventide Gilead. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eventide Gilead's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eventide Gilead's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eventide Gilead.

Eventide Gilead Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Eventide Mutual Fund to be very steady. Eventide Gilead secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0893, which denotes the fund had a 0.0893% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Eventide Gilead Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Eventide Gilead's Downside Deviation of 1.07, mean deviation of 0.7782, and Coefficient Of Variation of 992.03 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0911%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.06, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Eventide Gilead returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Eventide Gilead is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Eventide Gilead Fund has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Eventide Gilead time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Eventide Gilead price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Eventide Gilead price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.36

Eventide Gilead lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Eventide Gilead mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Eventide Gilead's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Eventide Gilead returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Eventide Gilead has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Eventide Gilead regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Eventide Gilead mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Eventide Gilead mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Eventide Gilead mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Eventide Gilead Lagged Returns

When evaluating Eventide Gilead's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Eventide Gilead mutual fund have on its future price. Eventide Gilead autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Eventide Gilead autocorrelation shows the relationship between Eventide Gilead mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Eventide Gilead Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Eventide Mutual Fund

Eventide Gilead financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eventide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eventide with respect to the benefits of owning Eventide Gilead security.
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