China Evergrande New Stock Market Value

EVGRF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
China Evergrande's market value is the price at which a share of China Evergrande trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of China Evergrande New investors about its performance. China Evergrande is trading at 0.0133 as of the 26th of February 2025. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.0133.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of China Evergrande New and determine expected loss or profit from investing in China Evergrande over a given investment horizon. Check out China Evergrande Correlation, China Evergrande Volatility and China Evergrande Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on China Evergrande.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between China Evergrande's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Evergrande is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Evergrande's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

China Evergrande 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to China Evergrande's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of China Evergrande.
0.00
01/27/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
02/26/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in China Evergrande on January 27, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding China Evergrande New or generate 0.0% return on investment in China Evergrande over 30 days. China Evergrande is related to or competes with Fresenius Medical, Universal Health, Addus HomeCare, HCA Holdings, and Tenet Healthcare. China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a health management compan... More

China Evergrande Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure China Evergrande's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess China Evergrande New upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

China Evergrande Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for China Evergrande's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as China Evergrande's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use China Evergrande historical prices to predict the future China Evergrande's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0110.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0110.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.0110.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.03
Details

China Evergrande New Backtested Returns

China Evergrande New secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0113, which signifies that the company had a -0.0113 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. China Evergrande New exposes seventeen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm China Evergrande's Standard Deviation of 10.49, mean deviation of 2.54, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0013 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.48, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, China Evergrande will likely underperform. At this point, China Evergrande New has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to confirm China Evergrande's coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if China Evergrande New performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

China Evergrande New has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between China Evergrande time series from 27th of January 2025 to 11th of February 2025 and 11th of February 2025 to 26th of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of China Evergrande New price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current China Evergrande price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

China Evergrande New lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is China Evergrande pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting China Evergrande's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of China Evergrande returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that China Evergrande has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

China Evergrande regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If China Evergrande pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if China Evergrande pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in China Evergrande pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

China Evergrande Lagged Returns

When evaluating China Evergrande's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of China Evergrande pink sheet have on its future price. China Evergrande autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, China Evergrande autocorrelation shows the relationship between China Evergrande pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in China Evergrande New.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Evergrande financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Evergrande security.