Evolution Gaming Group Stock Market Value

EVVTY Stock  USD 88.48  0.83  0.93%   
Evolution Gaming's market value is the price at which a share of Evolution Gaming trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Evolution Gaming Group investors about its performance. Evolution Gaming is trading at 88.48 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.93% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 89.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Evolution Gaming Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Evolution Gaming over a given investment horizon. Check out Evolution Gaming Correlation, Evolution Gaming Volatility and Evolution Gaming Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Evolution Gaming.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Evolution Gaming's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Evolution Gaming is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Evolution Gaming's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Evolution Gaming 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Evolution Gaming's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Evolution Gaming.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Evolution Gaming on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Evolution Gaming Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Evolution Gaming over 360 days. Evolution Gaming is related to or competes with Galaxy Gaming, Everi Holdings, 888 Holdings, Light Wonder, International Game, PlayAGS, and Accel Entertainment. Evolution AB develops, produces, markets, and licenses live casino and slots solutions to gaming operators primarily in ... More

Evolution Gaming Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Evolution Gaming's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Evolution Gaming Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Evolution Gaming Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Evolution Gaming's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Evolution Gaming's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Evolution Gaming historical prices to predict the future Evolution Gaming's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evolution Gaming's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.1388.4890.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.2777.6297.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.8585.2087.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.3492.3199.28
Details

Evolution Gaming Backtested Returns

Evolution Gaming secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which denotes the company had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Evolution Gaming Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Evolution Gaming's Variance of 5.38, standard deviation of 2.32, and Mean Deviation of 1.26 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Evolution Gaming's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Evolution Gaming is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Evolution Gaming has a negative expected return of -0.24%. Please make sure to confirm Evolution Gaming's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Evolution Gaming performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.16  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Evolution Gaming Group has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Evolution Gaming time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Evolution Gaming price movement. The serial correlation of -0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Evolution Gaming price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance36.76

Evolution Gaming lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Evolution Gaming pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Evolution Gaming's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Evolution Gaming returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Evolution Gaming has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Evolution Gaming regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Evolution Gaming pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Evolution Gaming pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Evolution Gaming pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Evolution Gaming Lagged Returns

When evaluating Evolution Gaming's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Evolution Gaming pink sheet have on its future price. Evolution Gaming autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Evolution Gaming autocorrelation shows the relationship between Evolution Gaming pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Evolution Gaming Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Evolution Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Evolution Gaming's price analysis, check to measure Evolution Gaming's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolution Gaming is operating at the current time. Most of Evolution Gaming's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolution Gaming's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolution Gaming's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolution Gaming to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.