Expand Energy Stock Market Value

EXE Stock   98.87  0.56  0.56%   
Expand Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Expand Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Expand Energy investors about its performance. Expand Energy is trading at 98.87 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 0.56% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 98.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Expand Energy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Expand Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Expand Energy Correlation, Expand Energy Volatility and Expand Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Expand Energy.
For information on how to trade Expand Stock refer to our How to Trade Expand Stock guide.
Symbol

Expand Energy Price To Book Ratio

Is Petroleum and Natural Gas space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expand Energy. If investors know Expand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expand Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Expand Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expand Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expand Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expand Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expand Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expand Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expand Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expand Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Expand Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Expand Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Expand Energy.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Expand Energy on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Expand Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Expand Energy over 30 days. Expand Energy is related to or competes with Antero Resources, Empire Petroleum, Permian Resources, SandRidge Energy, SM Energy, Dorchester Minerals, and Vista Oil. Crexendo, Inc., a hosted services company, offer Website hosting, hosted telecommunications services, ecommerce software, Website development software, and broadband Internet services for businesses and entrepreneurs in North America and internationally. More

Expand Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Expand Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Expand Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Expand Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Expand Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Expand Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Expand Energy historical prices to predict the future Expand Energy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expand Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.25100.10101.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.98109.10110.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.1398.98100.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.7296.46101.21
Details

Expand Energy Backtested Returns

Expand Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Expand Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.28, which denotes the company had a 0.28% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Expand Energy's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Expand Energy's Mean Deviation of 1.45, downside deviation of 1.49, and Coefficient Of Variation of 353.18 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Expand Energy holds a performance score of 21. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.32, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Expand Energy will likely underperform. Please check Expand Energy's treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Expand Energy's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.86  

Very good predictability

Expand Energy has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Expand Energy time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Expand Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Expand Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.86
Spearman Rank Test0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.11

Expand Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Expand Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Expand Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Expand Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Expand Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Expand Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Expand Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Expand Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Expand Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Expand Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Expand Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Expand Energy stock have on its future price. Expand Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Expand Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Expand Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Expand Energy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Expand Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Expand Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Expand Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Expand Energy Stock:
Check out Expand Energy Correlation, Expand Energy Volatility and Expand Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Expand Energy.
For information on how to trade Expand Stock refer to our How to Trade Expand Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Expand Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Expand Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Expand Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...