Fidelity Vertible Securities Fund Market Value

FACVX Fund  USD 37.00  0.23  0.63%   
Fidelity Convertible's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity Convertible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity Vertible Securities investors about its performance. Fidelity Convertible is trading at 37.00 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.63% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 36.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity Vertible Securities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity Convertible over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity Convertible Correlation, Fidelity Convertible Volatility and Fidelity Convertible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity Convertible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Convertible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity Convertible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Convertible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity Convertible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Convertible.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity Convertible on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Vertible Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Convertible over 360 days. Fidelity Convertible is related to or competes with Franklin Convertible, Franklin Convertible, Franklin Convertible, Allianzgi Convertible, Allianzgi Convertible, Virtus Convertible, and Fidelity Convertible. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in convertible securities, which are often lower-quality debt se... More

Fidelity Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Vertible Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity Convertible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Convertible historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Convertible's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.4437.0037.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.3039.7240.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.4937.0637.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.3135.7837.25
Details

Fidelity Convertible Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fidelity Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fidelity Convertible secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.28, which denotes the fund had a 0.28% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Fidelity Vertible Securities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fidelity Convertible's Downside Deviation of 0.4985, mean deviation of 0.4558, and Coefficient Of Variation of 346.77 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0215, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity Convertible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity Convertible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Fidelity Vertible Securities has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Convertible time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Convertible price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Fidelity Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.61

Fidelity Convertible lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Convertible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity Convertible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Vertible Securities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Convertible security.
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