Fidelity China Region Fund Market Value

FCHKX Fund  USD 36.53  0.48  1.30%   
Fidelity China's market value is the price at which a share of Fidelity China trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fidelity China Region investors about its performance. Fidelity China is trading at 36.53 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.3 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 37.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fidelity China Region and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fidelity China over a given investment horizon. Check out Fidelity China Correlation, Fidelity China Volatility and Fidelity China Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fidelity China.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity China's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity China is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity China's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fidelity China 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity China's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity China.
0.00
11/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fidelity China on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity China Region or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity China over 360 days. Fidelity China is related to or competes with Fidelity China, Fidelity China, Fidelity Advisor, Fidelity Advisor, and Fidelity Advisor. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in securities of Hong Kong, Taiwanese, and Chinese issuers and o... More

Fidelity China Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity China's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity China Region upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fidelity China Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity China's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity China's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity China historical prices to predict the future Fidelity China's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.7636.5338.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.9636.7338.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.4235.1936.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.2436.6937.14
Details

Fidelity China Region Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Fidelity Mutual Fund to be very steady. Fidelity China Region secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0647, which denotes the fund had a 0.0647% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fidelity China Region, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fidelity China's Mean Deviation of 1.26, downside deviation of 1.56, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1668.98 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fidelity China's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fidelity China is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

Fidelity China Region has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity China time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity China Region price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Fidelity China price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.34

Fidelity China Region lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity China mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity China's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity China returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity China has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fidelity China regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity China mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity China mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity China mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fidelity China Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fidelity China's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity China mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity China autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity China autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity China mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity China Region.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund

Fidelity China financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity China security.
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