Fidelity Gnma Fund Market Value
| FGMNX Fund | USD 10.15 0.08 0.79% |
| Symbol | Fidelity |
Fidelity Gnma 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Gnma's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Gnma.
| 10/27/2024 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fidelity Gnma on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Gnma Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Gnma over 30 days. Fidelity Gnma is related to or competes with Fidelity Government, Fidelity Short-term, Fidelity Total, Fidelity New, and Fidelity High. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in Ginnie Maes and repurchase agreements for Ginnie Maes More
Fidelity Gnma Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Gnma's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Gnma Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.52) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.55 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.49) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.3976 |
Fidelity Gnma Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Gnma's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Gnma's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Gnma historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Gnma's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.499 |
Fidelity Gnma Backtested Returns
Fidelity Gnma secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0628, which denotes the fund had a -0.0628% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fidelity Gnma Fund exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fidelity Gnma's Variance of 0.0881, standard deviation of 0.2968, and Mean Deviation of 0.2295 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.07, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fidelity Gnma are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fidelity Gnma is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.17 |
Very weak predictability
Fidelity Gnma Fund has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Gnma time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Gnma price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Fidelity Gnma price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Fidelity Gnma lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Gnma mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Gnma's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Gnma returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Gnma has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fidelity Gnma regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Gnma mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Gnma mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Gnma mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fidelity Gnma Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fidelity Gnma's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Gnma mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Gnma autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Gnma autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Gnma mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Gnma Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity Gnma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Gnma security.
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