Fulcrum Metals (UK) Market Value

FMET Stock   7.50  0.00  0.00%   
Fulcrum Metals' market value is the price at which a share of Fulcrum Metals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fulcrum Metals PLC investors about its performance. Fulcrum Metals is selling for under 7.50 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 7.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fulcrum Metals PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fulcrum Metals over a given investment horizon. Check out Fulcrum Metals Correlation, Fulcrum Metals Volatility and Fulcrum Metals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fulcrum Metals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fulcrum Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fulcrum Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fulcrum Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fulcrum Metals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fulcrum Metals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fulcrum Metals.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fulcrum Metals on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fulcrum Metals PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fulcrum Metals over 30 days. Fulcrum Metals is related to or competes with Givaudan, Antofagasta PLC, Centamin PLC, Atalaya Mining, Ferrexpo PLC, Amaroq Minerals, and Central Asia. Fulcrum Metals is entity of United Kingdom More

Fulcrum Metals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fulcrum Metals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fulcrum Metals PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fulcrum Metals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fulcrum Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fulcrum Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fulcrum Metals historical prices to predict the future Fulcrum Metals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.637.5012.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.337.2012.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.499.3614.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.367.809.24
Details

Fulcrum Metals PLC Backtested Returns

Fulcrum Metals PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.19, which denotes the company had a -0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fulcrum Metals PLC exposes seventeen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fulcrum Metals' Variance of 22.69, mean deviation of 1.72, and Standard Deviation of 4.76 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.2, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fulcrum Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fulcrum Metals is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Fulcrum Metals PLC has a negative expected return of -0.92%. Please make sure to confirm Fulcrum Metals' jensen alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the information ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if Fulcrum Metals PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  Huge  

Perfect predictability

Fulcrum Metals PLC has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fulcrum Metals time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fulcrum Metals PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current Fulcrum Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient92233.7 T
Spearman Rank Test-0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Fulcrum Metals PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fulcrum Metals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fulcrum Metals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fulcrum Metals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fulcrum Metals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fulcrum Metals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fulcrum Metals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fulcrum Metals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fulcrum Metals stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fulcrum Metals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fulcrum Metals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fulcrum Metals stock have on its future price. Fulcrum Metals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fulcrum Metals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fulcrum Metals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fulcrum Metals PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Fulcrum Stock Analysis

When running Fulcrum Metals' price analysis, check to measure Fulcrum Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fulcrum Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Fulcrum Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fulcrum Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fulcrum Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fulcrum Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.