Franklin Moderate Allocation Fund Market Value

FMTIX Fund  USD 16.11  0.04  0.25%   
Franklin Moderate's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin Moderate trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Moderate Allocation investors about its performance. Franklin Moderate is trading at 16.11 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.25% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.07.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Moderate Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin Moderate over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Moderate Correlation, Franklin Moderate Volatility and Franklin Moderate Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Moderate.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Moderate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Moderate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Moderate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin Moderate 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Moderate's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Moderate.
0.00
11/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin Moderate on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Moderate Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Moderate over 360 days. Franklin Moderate is related to or competes with Multisector Bond, Ms Global, T Rowe, Mirova Global, Gmo Emerging, and California Bond. The fund is a fund of funds meaning that it seeks to achieve its investment goal by investing its assets primarily in ot... More

Franklin Moderate Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Moderate's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Moderate Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Moderate Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Moderate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Moderate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Moderate historical prices to predict the future Franklin Moderate's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6616.1116.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6016.0516.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.5115.9616.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.0616.1016.13
Details

Franklin Moderate Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Franklin Mutual Fund to be very steady. Franklin Moderate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0665, which denotes the fund had a 0.0665% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Franklin Moderate Allocation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Franklin Moderate's Mean Deviation of 0.3565, downside deviation of 0.4892, and Semi Deviation of 0.4195 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0299%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.46, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Moderate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Moderate is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Franklin Moderate Allocation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Moderate time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Moderate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Franklin Moderate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Franklin Moderate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Moderate mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Moderate's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Moderate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Moderate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin Moderate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Moderate mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Moderate mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Moderate mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Moderate Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin Moderate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Moderate mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Moderate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Moderate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Moderate mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Moderate Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Moderate security.
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