FISH PAYK (Germany) Market Value

FPLB Stock  EUR 21.20  0.20  0.93%   
FISH PAYK's market value is the price at which a share of FISH PAYK trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of FISH PAYK HEALTH investors about its performance. FISH PAYK is trading at 21.20 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.93 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 21.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of FISH PAYK HEALTH and determine expected loss or profit from investing in FISH PAYK over a given investment horizon. Check out FISH PAYK Correlation, FISH PAYK Volatility and FISH PAYK Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on FISH PAYK.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between FISH PAYK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FISH PAYK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FISH PAYK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FISH PAYK 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to FISH PAYK's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of FISH PAYK.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in FISH PAYK on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding FISH PAYK HEALTH or generate 0.0% return on investment in FISH PAYK over 30 days. FISH PAYK is related to or competes with AIR PRODCHEMICALS, CAREER EDUCATION, National Beverage, Calibre Mining, Perdoceo Education, and Adtalem Global. More

FISH PAYK Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure FISH PAYK's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess FISH PAYK HEALTH upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

FISH PAYK Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for FISH PAYK's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as FISH PAYK's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use FISH PAYK historical prices to predict the future FISH PAYK's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.4221.2022.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2418.0223.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.9421.7223.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3421.1421.94
Details

FISH PAYK HEALTH Backtested Returns

At this point, FISH PAYK is very steady. FISH PAYK HEALTH secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0421, which denotes the company had a 0.0421% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for FISH PAYK HEALTH, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm FISH PAYK's Downside Deviation of 2.19, market risk adjusted performance of 1.17, and Mean Deviation of 1.37 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0748%. FISH PAYK has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0808, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, FISH PAYK's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding FISH PAYK is expected to be smaller as well. FISH PAYK HEALTH currently shows a risk of 1.78%. Please confirm FISH PAYK HEALTH treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if FISH PAYK HEALTH will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

FISH PAYK HEALTH has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between FISH PAYK time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of FISH PAYK HEALTH price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current FISH PAYK price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

FISH PAYK HEALTH lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is FISH PAYK stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting FISH PAYK's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of FISH PAYK returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that FISH PAYK has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

FISH PAYK regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If FISH PAYK stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if FISH PAYK stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in FISH PAYK stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

FISH PAYK Lagged Returns

When evaluating FISH PAYK's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of FISH PAYK stock have on its future price. FISH PAYK autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, FISH PAYK autocorrelation shows the relationship between FISH PAYK stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in FISH PAYK HEALTH.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in FISH Stock

FISH PAYK financial ratios help investors to determine whether FISH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FISH with respect to the benefits of owning FISH PAYK security.