Fpa New Income Fund Market Value

FPNIX Fund  USD 9.86  0.02  0.20%   
Fpa New's market value is the price at which a share of Fpa New trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fpa New Income investors about its performance. Fpa New is trading at 9.86 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.20% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fpa New Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fpa New over a given investment horizon. Check out Fpa New Correlation, Fpa New Volatility and Fpa New Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fpa New.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fpa New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fpa New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fpa New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fpa New 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fpa New's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fpa New.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fpa New on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fpa New Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fpa New over 540 days. Fpa New is related to or competes with Locorr Dynamic, Ms Global, Huber Capital, Icon Equity, Ab Select, Scharf Fund, and Artisan Select. The fund primarily invests in a diversified portfolio of debt securities, cash and cash equivalents More

Fpa New Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fpa New's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fpa New Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fpa New Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fpa New's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fpa New's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fpa New historical prices to predict the future Fpa New's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.699.8610.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.509.6710.85
Details

Fpa New Income Backtested Returns

Fpa New Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0365, which denotes the fund had a -0.0365% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Fpa New Income exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fpa New's Coefficient Of Variation of (3,888), mean deviation of 0.1282, and Standard Deviation of 0.1732 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0234, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fpa New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fpa New is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

Fpa New Income has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fpa New time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fpa New Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Fpa New price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.88
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Fpa New Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fpa New mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fpa New's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fpa New returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fpa New has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fpa New regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fpa New mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fpa New mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fpa New mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fpa New Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fpa New's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fpa New mutual fund have on its future price. Fpa New autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fpa New autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fpa New mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fpa New Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fpa Mutual Fund

Fpa New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fpa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fpa with respect to the benefits of owning Fpa New security.
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