Franklin Necticut Tax Free Fund Market Value

FQCTX Fund  USD 9.16  0.01  0.11%   
Franklin Necticut's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin Necticut trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Necticut Tax Free investors about its performance. Franklin Necticut is trading at 9.16 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.11% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Necticut Tax Free and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin Necticut over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Necticut Correlation, Franklin Necticut Volatility and Franklin Necticut Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin Necticut.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Necticut's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Necticut is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Necticut's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin Necticut 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin Necticut's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin Necticut.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin Necticut on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Necticut Tax Free or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin Necticut over 720 days. Franklin Necticut is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities whose interest is free from federal income taxes, i... More

Franklin Necticut Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin Necticut's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Necticut Tax Free upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Necticut Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin Necticut's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin Necticut's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin Necticut historical prices to predict the future Franklin Necticut's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Necticut's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.889.169.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.889.169.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.909.189.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.159.169.17
Details

Franklin Necticut Tax Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Franklin Mutual Fund to be very steady. Franklin Necticut Tax secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0379, which denotes the fund had a 0.0379% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Franklin Necticut Tax Free, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Franklin Necticut's Semi Deviation of 0.2838, mean deviation of 0.1667, and Downside Deviation of 0.4466 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0105%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0499, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Franklin Necticut's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Franklin Necticut is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

Franklin Necticut Tax Free has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin Necticut time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Necticut Tax price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Franklin Necticut price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Franklin Necticut Tax lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin Necticut mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin Necticut's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin Necticut returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin Necticut has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin Necticut regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin Necticut mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin Necticut mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin Necticut mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Necticut Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin Necticut's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin Necticut mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin Necticut autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin Necticut autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin Necticut mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Necticut Tax Free.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Necticut financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Necticut security.
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