Fletcher Building Limited Stock Market Value

Symbol

Fletcher

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fletcher Building's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fletcher Building.

Fletcher Building Upside/Downside Indicators

Fletcher Building Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fletcher Building's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fletcher Building's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fletcher Building historical prices to predict the future Fletcher Building's volatility.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fletcher Building's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Autocorrelation, which is Fletcher Building pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fletcher Building's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fletcher Building returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fletcher Building has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fletcher Building pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fletcher Building pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fletcher Building pink sheet over time.

When evaluating Fletcher Building's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fletcher Building pink sheet have on its future price. Fletcher Building autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fletcher Building autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fletcher Building pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fletcher Building Limited.

Fletcher Building financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fletcher Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fletcher with respect to the benefits of owning Fletcher Building security.