Fidelity Sai Alternative Fund Market Value
| FRPDX Fund | 9.42 0.01 0.11% |
| Symbol | Fidelity |
Fidelity Sai 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fidelity Sai's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fidelity Sai.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Fidelity Sai on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fidelity Sai Alternative or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fidelity Sai over 30 days. Fidelity Sai is related to or competes with Fidelity Freedom, Fidelity Puritan, Fidelity Puritan, Fidelity Pennsylvania, Fidelity Freedom, Fidelity Freedom, and Fidelity Salem. The adviser will construct a portfolio focused on commodities exposure that is established through various alternative r... More
Fidelity Sai Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fidelity Sai's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fidelity Sai Alternative upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.51) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5214 |
Fidelity Sai Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fidelity Sai's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fidelity Sai's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fidelity Sai historical prices to predict the future Fidelity Sai's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 2.03 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Sai's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity Sai Alternative Backtested Returns
Fidelity Sai Alternative secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0696, which denotes the fund had a -0.0696% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fidelity Sai Alternative exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fidelity Sai's Variance of 0.0901, standard deviation of 0.3002, and Mean Deviation of 0.2407 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0157, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fidelity Sai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fidelity Sai is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.12 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Fidelity Sai Alternative has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fidelity Sai time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fidelity Sai Alternative price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Fidelity Sai price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.18 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Fidelity Sai Alternative lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Fidelity Sai mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fidelity Sai's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fidelity Sai returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fidelity Sai has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Fidelity Sai regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fidelity Sai mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fidelity Sai mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fidelity Sai mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Fidelity Sai Lagged Returns
When evaluating Fidelity Sai's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fidelity Sai mutual fund have on its future price. Fidelity Sai autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fidelity Sai autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fidelity Sai mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fidelity Sai Alternative.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Fidelity Mutual Fund
Fidelity Sai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fidelity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fidelity with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Sai security.
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