Defense And Aerospace Fund Market Value

FSDAX Fund  USD 19.56  0.10  0.51%   
Defense And's market value is the price at which a share of Defense And trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Defense And Aerospace investors about its performance. Defense And is trading at 19.56 as of the 1st of February 2025; that is 0.51% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Defense And Aerospace and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Defense And over a given investment horizon. Check out Defense And Correlation, Defense And Volatility and Defense And Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Defense And.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Defense And's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defense And is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defense And's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Defense And 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Defense And's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Defense And.
0.00
08/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
02/01/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Defense And on August 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Defense And Aerospace or generate 0.0% return on investment in Defense And over 180 days. Defense And is related to or competes with Chemicals Portfolio, Construction And, Retailing Portfolio, Health Care, and Transportation Portfolio. The fund invests primarily in common stocks More

Defense And Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Defense And's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Defense And Aerospace upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Defense And Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Defense And's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Defense And's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Defense And historical prices to predict the future Defense And's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1919.5520.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1119.4720.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4519.8121.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.8118.9019.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Defense And. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Defense And's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Defense And's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Defense And Aerospace.

Defense And Aerospace Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Defense Mutual Fund to be very steady. Defense And Aerospace secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0474, which denotes the fund had a 0.0474 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Defense And Aerospace, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Defense And's Downside Deviation of 1.45, coefficient of variation of 5870.71, and Mean Deviation of 0.9931 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0647%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Defense And's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Defense And is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

Defense And Aerospace has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Defense And time series from 5th of August 2024 to 3rd of November 2024 and 3rd of November 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Defense And Aerospace price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Defense And price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.34

Defense And Aerospace lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Defense And mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Defense And's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Defense And returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Defense And has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Defense And regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Defense And mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Defense And mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Defense And mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Defense And Lagged Returns

When evaluating Defense And's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Defense And mutual fund have on its future price. Defense And autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Defense And autocorrelation shows the relationship between Defense And mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Defense And Aerospace.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Defense Mutual Fund

Defense And financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defense Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defense with respect to the benefits of owning Defense And security.
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