Tributary Smallmid Cap Fund Market Value

FSMBX Fund  USD 18.32  0.02  0.11%   
Tributary Small/mid's market value is the price at which a share of Tributary Small/mid trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tributary Smallmid Cap investors about its performance. Tributary Small/mid is trading at 18.32 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.11 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 18.34.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tributary Smallmid Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tributary Small/mid over a given investment horizon. Check out Tributary Small/mid Correlation, Tributary Small/mid Volatility and Tributary Small/mid Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tributary Small/mid.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tributary Small/mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tributary Small/mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tributary Small/mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tributary Small/mid 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tributary Small/mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tributary Small/mid.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tributary Small/mid on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tributary Smallmid Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tributary Small/mid over 30 days. Tributary Small/mid is related to or competes with Ab Global, Victory High, Ambrus Core, Icon Bond, Rational/pier, and Rbc Ultra-short. Under normal market conditions, the Advisor intends to invest at least 80 percent of its assets in common stocks and sec... More

Tributary Small/mid Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tributary Small/mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tributary Smallmid Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tributary Small/mid Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tributary Small/mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tributary Small/mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tributary Small/mid historical prices to predict the future Tributary Small/mid's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2718.3219.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0618.1119.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.1918.2419.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3117.9918.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tributary Small/mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tributary Small/mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tributary Small/mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tributary Smallmid Cap.

Tributary Smallmid Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Tributary Mutual Fund to be very steady. Tributary Smallmid Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the fund had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Tributary Smallmid Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Tributary Small/mid's Coefficient Of Variation of 1018.5, semi deviation of 0.7898, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0777 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The entity has a beta of 1.2, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tributary Small/mid will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Tributary Smallmid Cap has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tributary Small/mid time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tributary Smallmid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Tributary Small/mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Tributary Smallmid Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tributary Small/mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tributary Small/mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tributary Small/mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tributary Small/mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tributary Small/mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tributary Small/mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tributary Small/mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tributary Small/mid mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tributary Small/mid Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tributary Small/mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tributary Small/mid mutual fund have on its future price. Tributary Small/mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tributary Small/mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tributary Small/mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tributary Smallmid Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Tributary Mutual Fund

Tributary Small/mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tributary Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tributary with respect to the benefits of owning Tributary Small/mid security.
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