Fortescue Metals Group Stock Market Value

FSUGY Stock  USD 24.09  0.31  1.30%   
Fortescue Metals' market value is the price at which a share of Fortescue Metals trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fortescue Metals Group investors about its performance. Fortescue Metals is trading at 24.09 as of the 31st of January 2025; that is 1.30% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fortescue Metals Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fortescue Metals over a given investment horizon. Check out Fortescue Metals Correlation, Fortescue Metals Volatility and Fortescue Metals Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fortescue Metals.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortescue Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortescue Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortescue Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fortescue Metals 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fortescue Metals' otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fortescue Metals.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 4 months and 31 days
01/31/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fortescue Metals on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fortescue Metals Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fortescue Metals over 150 days. Fortescue Metals is related to or competes with IGO, IGO, Hannan Metals, Anglo American, Glencore PLC, South32, and South32 ADR. Fortescue Metals Group Limited engages in the exploration, development, production, processing, and sale of iron ore in ... More

Fortescue Metals Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fortescue Metals' otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fortescue Metals Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fortescue Metals Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fortescue Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fortescue Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fortescue Metals historical prices to predict the future Fortescue Metals' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9924.0926.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.9224.0226.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8723.9726.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.7223.1024.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fortescue Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fortescue Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fortescue Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fortescue Metals.

Fortescue Metals Backtested Returns

Fortescue Metals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0329, which denotes the company had a -0.0329 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Fortescue Metals Group exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Fortescue Metals' Standard Deviation of 2.06, variance of 4.26, and Mean Deviation of 1.59 to check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Fortescue Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fortescue Metals is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Fortescue Metals has a negative expected return of -0.0696%. Please make sure to confirm Fortescue Metals' total risk alpha, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if Fortescue Metals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.32  

Poor reverse predictability

Fortescue Metals Group has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fortescue Metals time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 31st of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fortescue Metals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Fortescue Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.32
Spearman Rank Test-0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.14

Fortescue Metals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fortescue Metals otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fortescue Metals' otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fortescue Metals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fortescue Metals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fortescue Metals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fortescue Metals otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fortescue Metals otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fortescue Metals otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fortescue Metals Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fortescue Metals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fortescue Metals otc stock have on its future price. Fortescue Metals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fortescue Metals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fortescue Metals otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fortescue Metals Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Fortescue OTC Stock Analysis

When running Fortescue Metals' price analysis, check to measure Fortescue Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortescue Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Fortescue Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortescue Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortescue Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortescue Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.