Franklin Government Securities Fund Market Value

FUSRX Fund  USD 5.04  0.01  0.20%   
Franklin's market value is the price at which a share of Franklin trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Franklin Government Securities investors about its performance. Franklin is trading at 5.04 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.20% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.03.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Franklin Government Securities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Franklin over a given investment horizon. Check out Franklin Correlation, Franklin Volatility and Franklin Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Franklin.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Franklin 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Franklin's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Franklin.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Franklin on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Franklin Government Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Franklin over 30 days. Franklin is related to or competes with Franklin Mutual, Templeton Developing, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Franklin Mutual, Templeton Foreign, and Templeton Foreign. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in U.S More

Franklin Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Franklin's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Franklin Government Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Franklin Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Franklin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Franklin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Franklin historical prices to predict the future Franklin's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.725.045.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.614.935.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.725.045.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.005.035.06
Details

Franklin Government Backtested Returns

Franklin Government secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1, which denotes the fund had a -0.1% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Franklin Government Securities exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Franklin's Coefficient Of Variation of (1,204), mean deviation of 0.2414, and Standard Deviation of 0.3168 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0485, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Franklin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Franklin is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.44  

Average predictability

Franklin Government Securities has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Franklin time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Franklin Government price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Franklin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.44
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Franklin Government lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Franklin mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Franklin's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Franklin returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Franklin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Franklin regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Franklin mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Franklin mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Franklin mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Franklin Lagged Returns

When evaluating Franklin's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Franklin mutual fund have on its future price. Franklin autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Franklin autocorrelation shows the relationship between Franklin mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Franklin Government Securities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin security.
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