Games Workshop (Germany) Market Value

G7W Stock  EUR 165.40  0.40  0.24%   
Games Workshop's market value is the price at which a share of Games Workshop trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Games Workshop Group investors about its performance. Games Workshop is trading at 165.40 as of the 30th of November 2024. This is a 0.24 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 165.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Games Workshop Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Games Workshop over a given investment horizon. Check out Games Workshop Correlation, Games Workshop Volatility and Games Workshop Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Games Workshop.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Games Workshop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Games Workshop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Games Workshop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Games Workshop 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Games Workshop's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Games Workshop.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Games Workshop on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Games Workshop Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Games Workshop over 30 days. Games Workshop is related to or competes with SLR Investment, TRAINLINE PLC, Broadcom, ECHO INVESTMENT, HK Electric, and Transportadora. Games Workshop Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails miniature figu... More

Games Workshop Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Games Workshop's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Games Workshop Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Games Workshop Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Games Workshop's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Games Workshop's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Games Workshop historical prices to predict the future Games Workshop's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
163.13165.40167.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
148.86181.19183.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
176.70178.97181.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
136.10155.84175.58
Details

Games Workshop Group Backtested Returns

Games Workshop appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Games Workshop Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.2, which attests that the entity had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Games Workshop Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Games Workshop's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1654, market risk adjusted performance of 0.5006, and Downside Deviation of 1.71 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Games Workshop holds a performance score of 16. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.94, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Games Workshop returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Games Workshop is expected to follow. Please check Games Workshop's maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Games Workshop's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Games Workshop Group has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Games Workshop time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Games Workshop Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Games Workshop price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance107.02

Games Workshop Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Games Workshop stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Games Workshop's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Games Workshop returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Games Workshop has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Games Workshop regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Games Workshop stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Games Workshop stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Games Workshop stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Games Workshop Lagged Returns

When evaluating Games Workshop's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Games Workshop stock have on its future price. Games Workshop autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Games Workshop autocorrelation shows the relationship between Games Workshop stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Games Workshop Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Games Stock

Games Workshop financial ratios help investors to determine whether Games Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Games with respect to the benefits of owning Games Workshop security.