Grande Hospitality (Thailand) Market Value

GAHREIT Stock  THB 6.50  0.10  1.52%   
Grande Hospitality's market value is the price at which a share of Grande Hospitality trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grande Hospitality Real investors about its performance. Grande Hospitality is selling for under 6.50 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 1.52 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 6.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grande Hospitality Real and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grande Hospitality over a given investment horizon. Check out Grande Hospitality Correlation, Grande Hospitality Volatility and Grande Hospitality Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grande Hospitality.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grande Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grande Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grande Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grande Hospitality 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grande Hospitality's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grande Hospitality.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grande Hospitality on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grande Hospitality Real or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grande Hospitality over 30 days. Grande Hospitality is related to or competes with Warrix Sport, NSL Foods, Lohakit Metal, and JD Food. More

Grande Hospitality Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grande Hospitality's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grande Hospitality Real upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grande Hospitality Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grande Hospitality's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grande Hospitality's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grande Hospitality historical prices to predict the future Grande Hospitality's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grande Hospitality's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.416.507.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.566.657.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.336.427.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.506.626.75
Details

Grande Hospitality Real Backtested Returns

Grande Hospitality Real holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0124, which attests that the entity had a -0.0124% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Grande Hospitality Real exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grande Hospitality's risk adjusted performance of 0.0023, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.17, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Grande Hospitality's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grande Hospitality is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Grande Hospitality Real has a negative expected return of -0.0136%. Please make sure to check out Grande Hospitality's standard deviation, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Grande Hospitality Real performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Grande Hospitality Real has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grande Hospitality time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grande Hospitality Real price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Grande Hospitality price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Grande Hospitality Real lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grande Hospitality stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grande Hospitality's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grande Hospitality returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grande Hospitality has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grande Hospitality regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grande Hospitality stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grande Hospitality stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grande Hospitality stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grande Hospitality Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grande Hospitality's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grande Hospitality stock have on its future price. Grande Hospitality autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grande Hospitality autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grande Hospitality stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grande Hospitality Real.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Grande Stock Analysis

When running Grande Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Grande Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grande Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Grande Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grande Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grande Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grande Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.