PTT GLBL (Germany) Market Value

GCB1 Stock  EUR 0.67  0.02  2.90%   
PTT GLBL's market value is the price at which a share of PTT GLBL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PTT GLBL CHEM NVDR investors about its performance. PTT GLBL is trading at 0.67 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 2.9% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.67.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PTT GLBL CHEM NVDR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in PTT GLBL over a given investment horizon. Check out PTT GLBL Correlation, PTT GLBL Volatility and PTT GLBL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PTT GLBL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between PTT GLBL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PTT GLBL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PTT GLBL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

PTT GLBL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PTT GLBL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PTT GLBL.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in PTT GLBL on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PTT GLBL CHEM NVDR or generate 0.0% return on investment in PTT GLBL over 30 days. PTT GLBL is related to or competes with HK Electric, ECHO INVESTMENT, DIVERSIFIED ROYALTY, JD SPORTS, EAT WELL, and UNIVMUSIC GRPADR050. PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited produces and distributes ethylene, propylene polyethylene, and biochemical pr... More

PTT GLBL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PTT GLBL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PTT GLBL CHEM NVDR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

PTT GLBL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PTT GLBL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PTT GLBL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PTT GLBL historical prices to predict the future PTT GLBL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.673.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.593.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.693.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.640.690.73
Details

PTT GLBL CHEM Backtested Returns

PTT GLBL CHEM maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0297, which implies the firm had a -0.0297% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. PTT GLBL CHEM exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PTT GLBL's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 12.86, coefficient of variation of (3,413), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.0067, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PTT GLBL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PTT GLBL is likely to outperform the market. At this point, PTT GLBL CHEM has a negative expected return of -0.0785%. Please make sure to check PTT GLBL's total risk alpha, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if PTT GLBL CHEM performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

PTT GLBL CHEM NVDR has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PTT GLBL time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PTT GLBL CHEM price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current PTT GLBL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

PTT GLBL CHEM lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is PTT GLBL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PTT GLBL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PTT GLBL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PTT GLBL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

PTT GLBL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PTT GLBL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PTT GLBL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PTT GLBL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

PTT GLBL Lagged Returns

When evaluating PTT GLBL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PTT GLBL stock have on its future price. PTT GLBL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PTT GLBL autocorrelation shows the relationship between PTT GLBL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PTT GLBL CHEM NVDR .
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in PTT Stock

PTT GLBL financial ratios help investors to determine whether PTT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PTT with respect to the benefits of owning PTT GLBL security.