Grupo Catalana (Spain) Market Value

GCO Stock  EUR 36.45  0.05  0.14%   
Grupo Catalana's market value is the price at which a share of Grupo Catalana trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grupo Catalana Occidente investors about its performance. Grupo Catalana is trading at 36.45 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 0.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 36.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grupo Catalana Occidente and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grupo Catalana over a given investment horizon. Check out Grupo Catalana Correlation, Grupo Catalana Volatility and Grupo Catalana Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grupo Catalana.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Catalana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Catalana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Catalana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grupo Catalana 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grupo Catalana's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grupo Catalana.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grupo Catalana on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grupo Catalana Occidente or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grupo Catalana over 510 days. Grupo Catalana is related to or competes with Banco De, Banco Santander, and Repsol. Grupo Catalana Occidente, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products and services worldwide More

Grupo Catalana Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grupo Catalana's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grupo Catalana Occidente upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grupo Catalana Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grupo Catalana's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grupo Catalana's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grupo Catalana historical prices to predict the future Grupo Catalana's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.6436.4537.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8137.2838.09
Details

Grupo Catalana Occidente Backtested Returns

Grupo Catalana Occidente holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.16, which attests that the entity had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Grupo Catalana Occidente exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grupo Catalana's Standard Deviation of 0.8011, risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.90) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.16, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Grupo Catalana's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grupo Catalana is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Grupo Catalana Occidente has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to check out Grupo Catalana's daily balance of power, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Grupo Catalana Occidente performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Grupo Catalana Occidente has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grupo Catalana time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grupo Catalana Occidente price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Grupo Catalana price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.05

Grupo Catalana Occidente lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grupo Catalana stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grupo Catalana's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grupo Catalana returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grupo Catalana has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grupo Catalana regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grupo Catalana stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grupo Catalana stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grupo Catalana stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grupo Catalana Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grupo Catalana's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grupo Catalana stock have on its future price. Grupo Catalana autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grupo Catalana autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grupo Catalana stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grupo Catalana Occidente.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grupo Stock

Grupo Catalana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Catalana security.