GEA Grenobl (France) Market Value

GEA Stock  EUR 70.50  0.50  0.70%   
GEA Grenobl's market value is the price at which a share of GEA Grenobl trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GEA Grenobl Elect investors about its performance. GEA Grenobl is trading at 70.50 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.7% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 71.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GEA Grenobl Elect and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GEA Grenobl over a given investment horizon. Check out GEA Grenobl Correlation, GEA Grenobl Volatility and GEA Grenobl Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GEA Grenobl.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GEA Grenobl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GEA Grenobl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GEA Grenobl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GEA Grenobl 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GEA Grenobl's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GEA Grenobl.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GEA Grenobl on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GEA Grenobl Elect or generate 0.0% return on investment in GEA Grenobl over 30 days. GEA Grenobl is related to or competes with Graines Voltz, Linedata Services, Gevelot, Lacroix Group, and Lectricite. Grenobloise dElectronique et dAutomatismes Socit Anonyme designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, installs, and main... More

GEA Grenobl Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GEA Grenobl's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GEA Grenobl Elect upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GEA Grenobl Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GEA Grenobl's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GEA Grenobl's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GEA Grenobl historical prices to predict the future GEA Grenobl's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.6370.5072.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.1372.0073.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.7468.6170.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
69.6671.5073.34
Details

GEA Grenobl Elect Backtested Returns

GEA Grenobl Elect retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0632, which attests that the entity had a -0.0632% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. GEA Grenobl exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out GEA Grenobl's Coefficient Of Variation of (3,437), variance of 3.72, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.32, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GEA Grenobl's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GEA Grenobl is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, GEA Grenobl Elect has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check out GEA Grenobl's mean deviation, jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to decide if GEA Grenobl Elect performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

GEA Grenobl Elect has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GEA Grenobl time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GEA Grenobl Elect price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current GEA Grenobl price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.98

GEA Grenobl Elect lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GEA Grenobl stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GEA Grenobl's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GEA Grenobl returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GEA Grenobl has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

GEA Grenobl regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GEA Grenobl stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GEA Grenobl stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GEA Grenobl stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GEA Grenobl Lagged Returns

When evaluating GEA Grenobl's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GEA Grenobl stock have on its future price. GEA Grenobl autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GEA Grenobl autocorrelation shows the relationship between GEA Grenobl stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GEA Grenobl Elect.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in GEA Stock

GEA Grenobl financial ratios help investors to determine whether GEA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GEA with respect to the benefits of owning GEA Grenobl security.