Gabelli Equity Income Fund Market Value

GEICX Fund   7.97  0.08  1.01%   
Gabelli Equity's market value is the price at which a share of Gabelli Equity trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gabelli Equity Income investors about its performance. Gabelli Equity is trading at 7.97 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.01 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.89.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gabelli Equity Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gabelli Equity over a given investment horizon. Check out Gabelli Equity Correlation, Gabelli Equity Volatility and Gabelli Equity Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gabelli Equity.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gabelli Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gabelli Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gabelli Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gabelli Equity 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gabelli Equity's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gabelli Equity.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gabelli Equity on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gabelli Equity Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gabelli Equity over 30 days. Gabelli Equity is related to or competes with Dunham Real, Deutsche Real, Prudential Real, Amg Managers, Real Estate, and Franklin Real. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective through a combination of capital appreciation and current income by i... More

Gabelli Equity Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gabelli Equity's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gabelli Equity Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gabelli Equity Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Equity's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gabelli Equity's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gabelli Equity historical prices to predict the future Gabelli Equity's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabelli Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.227.978.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.157.908.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.177.928.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.877.948.02
Details

Gabelli Equity Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Gabelli Mutual Fund to be very steady. Gabelli Equity Income holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Gabelli Equity Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Gabelli Equity's risk adjusted performance of 0.0994, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.11 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.078%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.89, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Gabelli Equity returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gabelli Equity is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Gabelli Equity Income has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gabelli Equity time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Equity Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Gabelli Equity price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Gabelli Equity Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gabelli Equity mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gabelli Equity's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gabelli Equity returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gabelli Equity has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Equity regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gabelli Equity mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gabelli Equity mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gabelli Equity mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gabelli Equity Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gabelli Equity's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gabelli Equity mutual fund have on its future price. Gabelli Equity autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gabelli Equity autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gabelli Equity mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gabelli Equity Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund

Gabelli Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Equity security.
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