Geodrill Limited Stock Market Value

GEODF Stock  USD 1.99  0.07  3.40%   
Geodrill's market value is the price at which a share of Geodrill trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Geodrill Limited investors about its performance. Geodrill is trading at 1.99 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 3.4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Geodrill Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Geodrill over a given investment horizon. Check out Geodrill Correlation, Geodrill Volatility and Geodrill Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Geodrill.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Geodrill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geodrill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geodrill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Geodrill 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geodrill's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geodrill.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Geodrill on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geodrill Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geodrill over 30 days. Geodrill is related to or competes with Amarc Resources, South Star, and Mundoro Capital. Geodrill Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides mineral exploration drilling services to mining companies in ... More

Geodrill Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geodrill's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geodrill Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Geodrill Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geodrill's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geodrill's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geodrill historical prices to predict the future Geodrill's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geodrill's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.191.993.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.141.943.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.151.953.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.851.992.14
Details

Geodrill Limited Backtested Returns

At this point, Geodrill is relatively risky. Geodrill Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0089, which attests that the entity had a 0.0089% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Geodrill Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Geodrill's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2234, downside deviation of 1.95, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0291 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0161%. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Geodrill's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Geodrill is expected to be smaller as well. Geodrill Limited right now retains a risk of 1.8%. Please check out Geodrill sortino ratio, semi variance, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Geodrill will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.81  

Excellent reverse predictability

Geodrill Limited has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geodrill time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geodrill Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Geodrill price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Geodrill Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Geodrill otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Geodrill's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Geodrill returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Geodrill has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Geodrill regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Geodrill otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Geodrill otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Geodrill otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Geodrill Lagged Returns

When evaluating Geodrill's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Geodrill otc stock have on its future price. Geodrill autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Geodrill autocorrelation shows the relationship between Geodrill otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Geodrill Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Geodrill OTC Stock

Geodrill financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geodrill OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geodrill with respect to the benefits of owning Geodrill security.