Global Hard Assets Fund Market Value

GHAYX Fund  USD 41.54  0.24  0.57%   
Global Hard's market value is the price at which a share of Global Hard trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Hard Assets investors about its performance. Global Hard is trading at 41.54 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.57% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 41.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Hard Assets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Hard over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Hard Correlation, Global Hard Volatility and Global Hard Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Hard.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Hard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Hard is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Hard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Hard 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Hard's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Hard.
0.00
09/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Hard on September 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Hard Assets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Hard over 60 days. Global Hard is related to or competes with Tax-managed, Gmo Small, Small Pany, Ancora/thelen Small-mid, Ab Small, Qs Us, and Artisan Small. Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of global resource compani... More

Global Hard Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Hard's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Hard Assets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Hard Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Hard's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Hard's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Hard historical prices to predict the future Global Hard's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Hard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.6241.5442.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.4741.3942.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.8041.7242.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.4141.6741.94
Details

Global Hard Assets Backtested Returns

Global Hard Assets holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.002, which attests that the entity had a -0.002% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Global Hard Assets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Global Hard's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 0.9197, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.62, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Global Hard's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Hard is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.26  

Weak reverse predictability

Global Hard Assets has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Hard time series from 28th of September 2024 to 28th of October 2024 and 28th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Hard Assets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Global Hard price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.25

Global Hard Assets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Hard mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Hard's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Hard returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Hard has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Hard regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Hard mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Hard mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Hard mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Hard Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Hard's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Hard mutual fund have on its future price. Global Hard autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Hard autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Hard mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Hard Assets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Hard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Hard security.
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