Guggenheim Limited Duration Fund Market Value

GIKRX Fund  USD 24.44  0.03  0.12%   
Guggenheim Limited's market value is the price at which a share of Guggenheim Limited trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guggenheim Limited Duration investors about its performance. Guggenheim Limited is trading at 24.44 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.12% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.41.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guggenheim Limited Duration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guggenheim Limited over a given investment horizon. Check out Guggenheim Limited Correlation, Guggenheim Limited Volatility and Guggenheim Limited Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guggenheim Limited.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guggenheim Limited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guggenheim Limited 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guggenheim Limited's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guggenheim Limited.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guggenheim Limited on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guggenheim Limited Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guggenheim Limited over 30 days. Guggenheim Limited is related to or competes with Artisan High, Inflation-protected, Versatile Bond, Thrivent Income, Multisector Bond, and California Bond. The advisor intends to pursue the funds investment objective by investing at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of debt securities, financial instruments that should perform similarly to debt securities and investment vehicles that provide exposure to debt securities, and debt-like securities, including individual securities, investment vehicles and derivatives giving exposure to fixed-income markets. More

Guggenheim Limited Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guggenheim Limited's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guggenheim Limited Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guggenheim Limited Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Limited's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guggenheim Limited's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guggenheim Limited historical prices to predict the future Guggenheim Limited's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3324.4424.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.3722.4826.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3224.4324.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.3224.3924.45
Details

Guggenheim Limited Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Guggenheim Mutual Fund to be very steady. Guggenheim Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0827, which attests that the entity had a 0.0827% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Guggenheim Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guggenheim Limited's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0434, market risk adjusted performance of (0.29), and Coefficient Of Variation of 765.09 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.009%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0166, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guggenheim Limited are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guggenheim Limited is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.54  

Good reverse predictability

Guggenheim Limited Duration has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guggenheim Limited time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guggenheim Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Guggenheim Limited price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.54
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Guggenheim Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guggenheim Limited mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guggenheim Limited's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guggenheim Limited returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guggenheim Limited has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guggenheim Limited regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guggenheim Limited mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guggenheim Limited mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guggenheim Limited mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guggenheim Limited Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guggenheim Limited's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guggenheim Limited mutual fund have on its future price. Guggenheim Limited autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guggenheim Limited autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guggenheim Limited mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guggenheim Limited Duration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Limited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Limited security.
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