Gmo Usonian Japan Value Fund Market Value

GMAHX Fund  USD 19.77  0.13  0.65%   
Gmo Usonian's market value is the price at which a share of Gmo Usonian trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gmo Usonian Japan Value investors about its performance. Gmo Usonian is trading at 19.77 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.65 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gmo Usonian Japan Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gmo Usonian over a given investment horizon. Check out Gmo Usonian Correlation, Gmo Usonian Volatility and Gmo Usonian Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gmo Usonian.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gmo Usonian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gmo Usonian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gmo Usonian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gmo Usonian 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gmo Usonian's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gmo Usonian.
0.00
10/29/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year and 26 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gmo Usonian on October 29, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gmo Usonian Japan Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gmo Usonian over 390 days. Gmo Usonian is related to or competes with Maryland Short-term, Jhancock Short, Angel Oak, Ultra-short Term, Calvert Short, and Touchstone Ultra. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests directly and indirectly at least 80 percent of its assets in securities of ... More

Gmo Usonian Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gmo Usonian's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gmo Usonian Japan Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gmo Usonian Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gmo Usonian's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gmo Usonian's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gmo Usonian historical prices to predict the future Gmo Usonian's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7219.7720.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5518.6021.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3519.4020.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.2720.3521.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gmo Usonian. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gmo Usonian's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gmo Usonian's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gmo Usonian Japan.

Gmo Usonian Japan Backtested Returns

Gmo Usonian Japan holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.092, which attests that the entity had a -0.092% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gmo Usonian Japan exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gmo Usonian's Standard Deviation of 1.07, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.6963 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Gmo Usonian are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Gmo Usonian is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Gmo Usonian Japan Value has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gmo Usonian time series from 29th of October 2023 to 11th of May 2024 and 11th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gmo Usonian Japan price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Gmo Usonian price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.52

Gmo Usonian Japan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gmo Usonian mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gmo Usonian's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gmo Usonian returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gmo Usonian has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gmo Usonian regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gmo Usonian mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gmo Usonian mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gmo Usonian mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gmo Usonian Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gmo Usonian's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gmo Usonian mutual fund have on its future price. Gmo Usonian autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gmo Usonian autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gmo Usonian mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gmo Usonian Japan Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

Gmo Usonian financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gmo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gmo with respect to the benefits of owning Gmo Usonian security.
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