Gmo Emerging Markets Fund Market Value

GMOEX Fund  USD 24.75  0.11  0.45%   
Gmo Emerging's market value is the price at which a share of Gmo Emerging trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gmo Emerging Markets investors about its performance. Gmo Emerging is trading at 24.75 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.45 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.64.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gmo Emerging Markets and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gmo Emerging over a given investment horizon. Check out Gmo Emerging Correlation, Gmo Emerging Volatility and Gmo Emerging Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gmo Emerging.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gmo Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gmo Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gmo Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gmo Emerging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gmo Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gmo Emerging.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gmo Emerging on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gmo Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gmo Emerging over 30 days. Gmo Emerging is related to or competes with Gmo E, Gmo Trust, Gmo Treasury, Gmo Trust, Gmo Emerging, Gmo Emerging, and Gmo Global. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of the funds net assets directly and indirectly in comp... More

Gmo Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gmo Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gmo Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gmo Emerging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gmo Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gmo Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gmo Emerging historical prices to predict the future Gmo Emerging's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gmo Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9324.7525.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.1624.9825.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.5924.4125.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5824.8025.03
Details

Gmo Emerging Markets Backtested Returns

Gmo Emerging Markets holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0022, which attests that the entity had a -0.0022% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gmo Emerging Markets exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gmo Emerging's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1), standard deviation of 0.8455, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.36, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gmo Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gmo Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.68  

Good predictability

Gmo Emerging Markets has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gmo Emerging time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gmo Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Gmo Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.68
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Gmo Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gmo Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gmo Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gmo Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gmo Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gmo Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gmo Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gmo Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gmo Emerging mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gmo Emerging Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gmo Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gmo Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Gmo Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gmo Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gmo Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gmo Emerging Markets.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

Gmo Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gmo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gmo with respect to the benefits of owning Gmo Emerging security.
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