Guidemark Smallmid Cap Fund Market Value
| GMSMX Fund | USD 23.10 0.36 1.58% |
| Symbol | Guidemark(r) |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guidemark(r) Small/mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guidemark(r) Small/mid.
| 10/26/2024 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guidemark(r) Small/mid on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guidemark Smallmid Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guidemark(r) Small/mid over 30 days. Guidemark(r) Small/mid is related to or competes with Teton Convertible, Gabelli Convertible, Putnam Convertible, Invesco Convertible, Calamos Dynamic, Franklin Convertible, and Fidelity Convertible. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in the securities of small-to-medium capi... More
Guidemark(r) Small/mid Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guidemark(r) Small/mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guidemark Smallmid Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9804 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0387 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.98 |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guidemark(r) Small/mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guidemark(r) Small/mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guidemark(r) Small/mid historical prices to predict the future Guidemark(r) Small/mid's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1178 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0469 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.12 |
Guidemark Smallmid Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Guidemark(r) Mutual Fund to be very steady. Guidemark Smallmid Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Guidemark Smallmid Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guidemark(r) Small/mid's Downside Deviation of 0.9804, market risk adjusted performance of 0.13, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1178 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.39, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guidemark(r) Small/mid will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.54 |
Modest predictability
Guidemark Smallmid Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guidemark(r) Small/mid time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guidemark Smallmid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Guidemark(r) Small/mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.17 |
Guidemark Smallmid Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guidemark(r) Small/mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guidemark(r) Small/mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guidemark(r) Small/mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guidemark(r) Small/mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guidemark(r) Small/mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guidemark(r) Small/mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guidemark(r) Small/mid mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guidemark(r) Small/mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guidemark(r) Small/mid mutual fund have on its future price. Guidemark(r) Small/mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guidemark(r) Small/mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guidemark(r) Small/mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guidemark Smallmid Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Guidemark(r) Mutual Fund
Guidemark(r) Small/mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidemark(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidemark(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Guidemark(r) Small/mid security.
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