Geopacific Resources Limited Stock Market Value
| GPACF Stock | USD 0.03 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | Geopacific |
Geopacific Resources 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Geopacific Resources' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Geopacific Resources.
| 11/25/2025 |
| 12/25/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Geopacific Resources on November 25, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Geopacific Resources Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Geopacific Resources over 30 days. Geopacific Resources is related to or competes with Sanu Gold, Minaurum Gold, Orosur Mining, Titan Minerals, Galane Gold, Satori Resources, and FireFox Gold. Geopacific Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold deposits in Papua New Guinea More
Geopacific Resources Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Geopacific Resources' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Geopacific Resources Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | 0.0953 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 76.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.67) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.7018 |
Geopacific Resources Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geopacific Resources' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Geopacific Resources' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Geopacific Resources historical prices to predict the future Geopacific Resources' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0811 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.9289 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1741 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.51 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Geopacific Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Geopacific Resources Backtested Returns
Geopacific Resources is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Geopacific Resources holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1, which attests that the entity had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.01% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Geopacific Resources Limited Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.52, risk adjusted performance of 0.0811, and Standard Deviation of 9.53 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Geopacific Resources holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.64, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Geopacific Resources' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Geopacific Resources is expected to be smaller as well. Use Geopacific Resources Limited value at risk, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Geopacific Resources Limited.
Auto-correlation | 0.40 |
Average predictability
Geopacific Resources Limited has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Geopacific Resources time series from 25th of November 2025 to 10th of December 2025 and 10th of December 2025 to 25th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Geopacific Resources price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Geopacific Resources price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.4 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.86 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Geopacific Resources lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Geopacific Resources pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Geopacific Resources' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Geopacific Resources returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Geopacific Resources has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Geopacific Resources regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Geopacific Resources pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Geopacific Resources pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Geopacific Resources pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Geopacific Resources Lagged Returns
When evaluating Geopacific Resources' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Geopacific Resources pink sheet have on its future price. Geopacific Resources autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Geopacific Resources autocorrelation shows the relationship between Geopacific Resources pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Geopacific Resources Limited.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Geopacific Pink Sheet
Geopacific Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Geopacific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Geopacific with respect to the benefits of owning Geopacific Resources security.