GP Investments (Brazil) Market Value

GPIV33 Stock  BRL 3.98  0.04  1.02%   
GP Investments' market value is the price at which a share of GP Investments trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of GP Investments investors about its performance. GP Investments is trading at 3.98 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 1.02 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of GP Investments and determine expected loss or profit from investing in GP Investments over a given investment horizon. Check out GP Investments Correlation, GP Investments Volatility and GP Investments Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on GP Investments.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between GP Investments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GP Investments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GP Investments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

GP Investments 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GP Investments' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GP Investments.
0.00
08/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in GP Investments on August 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GP Investments or generate 0.0% return on investment in GP Investments over 90 days. GP Investments is related to or competes with Verizon Communications, Apartment Investment, New Oriental, METISA Metalrgica, Ross Stores, and Mangels Industrial. GP Investments, Ltd. is a private equity, venture capital and alternative investments firm specializing in leveraged acq... More

GP Investments Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GP Investments' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GP Investments upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

GP Investments Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GP Investments' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GP Investments' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GP Investments historical prices to predict the future GP Investments' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.203.988.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.183.557.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.848.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.933.974.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GP Investments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GP Investments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GP Investments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GP Investments.

GP Investments Backtested Returns

At this point, GP Investments is unstable. GP Investments retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0184, which attests that the entity had a 0.0184% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for GP Investments, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out GP Investments' Semi Deviation of 3.5, standard deviation of 4.19, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0779%. GP Investments has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.84, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning GP Investments are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, GP Investments is likely to outperform the market. GP Investments today owns a risk of 4.23%. Please check out GP Investments mean deviation, standard deviation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if GP Investments will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

GP Investments has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GP Investments time series from 26th of August 2024 to 10th of October 2024 and 10th of October 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GP Investments price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current GP Investments price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

GP Investments lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is GP Investments stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GP Investments' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GP Investments returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GP Investments has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

GP Investments regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GP Investments stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GP Investments stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GP Investments stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

GP Investments Lagged Returns

When evaluating GP Investments' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GP Investments stock have on its future price. GP Investments autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GP Investments autocorrelation shows the relationship between GP Investments stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GP Investments.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in GPIV33 Stock

GP Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether GPIV33 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GPIV33 with respect to the benefits of owning GP Investments security.